Week 16 Preview

Redskins @ Titans (-10) (Sat 1:30 PM PDT):

O/U: 37

Blurb: The Titans D is a must start play as a 10 point favorite at home against Josh Johnson. I love Derrick Henry too, he’s gotten over 50 touches the past two weeks. With Henry getting all the touches, Dion Lewis is useless. I don’t expect the Titans to pass much, so Corey Davis is really risky. I would bench every Redskins player, it’s too tough of a matchup for the offense to trust anyone to produce.

Ravens @ Chargers (-4.5) (Sat 5:20 PM PDT):

O/U: 44

Blurb: Melvin Gordon will be back for the Chargers, and although his workload should be a little lower than usual, he’s a must start. Austin Ekeler will not play, but I wouldn’t start Justin Jackson. Philip Rivers has a tough matchup and I would get away from him if possible. Keenan Allen is expected to play, so Mike Williams is a flex consideration but has a tough matchup. Lamar Jackson is a bench for me as well, he hasn’t done great in easy matchups and now he’s in a hard matchup on the road. Gus Edwards is a play only because of how much the Ravens run the ball, and I think Kenneth Dixon is a decent desperation guy as he’s been seeing more work. Their shared touches hamstring both of them from having big fantasy potential.

Giants @ Colts (-9) (Sun 10:00 AM PDT):

O/U: 47

Blurb: Odell Beckham is not expected to play for the Giants, so Evan Engram becomes a great start at the TE position. Sterling Shepard will see more targets as well, but that’s not a guarantee that he will produce, although he’s a decent play. Saquon Barkley is a must start. Andrew Luck is a good option this week, but there is a risk of him not throwing the ball much (just like last week), as the Colts will probably run the ball a ton since the Giants offense won’t threaten them. Marlon Mack is a must start because the Giants have done a horrible job of stopping the run since they traded Damon Harrison. T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron are must starts as well.

Jaguars @ Dolphins (-4) (Sun 10:00 AM PDT):

O/U: 38.5

Blurb: The Jaguars offense is really hard to trust, and Leonard Fournette remains the only player you could possibly play. I don’t like him as much as I did the last two weeks though, because now even his workload has come under question after he touched the ball just twice in the 2nd half last week. Fournette does have a cakewalk matchup though. On the Dolphins side of the ball, Kalen Ballage has emerged in the Frank Gore role of this offense, so he’ll get double digit carries but plays a tough defense. Kenyan Drake is still unreliable, even after Gore got hurt he didn’t get many touches. I’m not a fan of the Jaguars defense on the road for fantasy, I think they’ve given up on the season despite how talented they are. I like the Dolphins defense a lot for fantasy though.

Falcons (-3) @ Panthers (Sun 10:00 AM PDT):

Blurb: Cam Newton will not play in this game, and Taylor Heineke will take his place. That automatically makes all Panthers pass catchers unusable. Christian McCaffrey is still the same guy though, he will get even more utilization, if that’s even possible. Matt Ryan is a great start for me, he goes up against a bad pass defense this week, and I’m not concerned that he’s on the road; I think the Panthers tough loss to the Saints carries over into this game. Julio Jones is a must start, and Calvin Ridley / Mohamed Sanu also have potential in this game given the matchup. It’s a tough rushing matchup for Tevin Coleman, but working in his favor should be an increase in touches with Ito Smith injured and the only backup RBs being recently promoted Jeremy Langford and Brian Hill. The Falcons defense is in play for fantasy because they’re going up against a backup QB, but they aren’t a good defense as it is, and they are on the road.

Bengals @ Browns (-9) (Sun 10:00 AM PDT):

O/U: 44.5

Blurb: The Bengals latest injury is to WR Tyler Boyd, so now their backup QB will be throwing to a bunch of backup receivers. C.J. Uzomah HAS to finally get some catches, right?! I think so. Joe Mixon should again get a ton of touches, after how he has carried that offense in the last two weeks I don’t see the Bengals getting away from him. The Browns haven’t been great against the run either. All that being said, the Browns defense has a ton of upside at home in this situation. They are a great play. Baker Mayfield is a good play against the worst defense in the NFL, Nick Chubb is a must start, and Jarvis Landry is a good play as well. David Njoku has been frustrating, but most people should fire him up against this defense.

Buccaneers @ Cowboys (-7) (Sun 10:00 AM PDT):

O/U: 47.5

Blurb: The Bucs offense is in a tough spot against this Cowboys defense who plays really well at home. Jameis Winston isn’t startable, neither is Peyton Barber. Mike Evans is someone most people are forced to start every week, but I don’t mind him this week. Adam Humphries will get you around 50-60 yards, and his scoring streak has cooled off, so he’s not a good play outside of PPR leagues. Chris Godwin has been terrible lately, and I don’t see that improving. Cameron Brate is TD or bust, and I don’t see him scoring this week. Dak Prescott is a viable streamer QB, he’s in a good spot at home in a good matchup. Ezekiel Elliott is a must start, and Amari Cooper is a great play because he’ll get at least 8 targets against a poor secondary.

Vikings (-6) @ Lions (Sun 10:00 AM PDT):

O/U: 42.5

Blurb: I think the Vikings will be able to do whatever they want in this game. The Lions defense is not good at all. Dalvin Cook is a great start this week, the Vikings got him going last week and that will continue. Kirk Cousins is OK, but I’m not a big fan of him because I don’t think he’ll pass much since the Vikings will control the game. Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen are must starts. On the Lions side of the ball, Kenny Golladay is the only player to start, and going against Xavier Rhodes I’m not excited to play him, but if you have to play him it’s not the end of the world.

Bills @ Patriots (-13) (Sun 10:00 AM PDT):

O/U: 44.5

Blurb: Josh Gordon will not play in this game, and that makes me dislike Tom Brady for this week even more. Julian Edelman should see even more work and that makes him a great play. It’s tough to trust Sony Michel and James White since Rex Burkhead has been back, but with Gordon out I think White should get more targets. Sony Michel will get more carries because of the Patriots being heavy favorites. On the Bills side of the ball, it’s unsure which RBs will play, but I wouldn’t start any of them. Josh Allen is a low end start, I would actually play him over Tom Brady. Robert Foster is interesting as a desperation big play receiver, he’s been on a hot streak lately.

Packers (-3) @ Jets (Sun 10:00 AM PDT):

O/U: 46.5

Blurb: Aaron Rodgers is a great start this week. The Jets have been torn up by fantasy QBs lately, and the Packers starting RB Aaron Jones is injured, and the ineffective Jamaal Williams will replace him. Williams is attractive in fantasy only because of his projected workload and Aaron Rodgers at QB, not because he’s skilled. Davante Adams is a must start. I don’t have any faith in Jimmy Graham, but you may be forced to start him. On the Jets side of the ball, I think Elijah McGuire and Robby Anderson are both decent starts against a bad defense. McGuire is the starting RB after Bilal Powell’s injury, and Robby Anderson has proven himself as the team’s #1 and Sam Darnold’s favorite target. Chris Herndon is a good desperation play.

Texans @ Eagles (-2.5) (Sun 10:00 AM PDT):

O/U: 46

Blurb: The Texans are underdogs on the road in this game, and that means DeShaun Watson should get an abundance of opportunities to attack this weak Eagles secondary. I expect a great game out of him. Lamar Miller is banged up, so I’m down on him against a solid run defense. Hopkins is a must start. The Texans defense is a decent play, but I think there are better defenses available on waivers. On the Eagles side of the ball, you aren’t playing any of their running backs against this Houston run defense. Alshon Jeffery is a below average start, but he showed chemistry with Foles last week that could continue. Golden Tate is a desperation play, while Zach Ertz is a must start.

Rams (-14) @ Cardinals (Sun 1:05 PM PDT):

O/U: 44

Blurb: Jared Goff won’t have to throw much this game, and the Cardinals are a tough matchup for opposing QBs. That moves him towards the bottom of starting QBs. Robert Woods is a must start, but I can see you starting someone else over Brandin Cooks, who will draw Patrick Peterson this week. With Todd Gurley as a gametime decision, if he doesn’t play C.J. Anderson and John Kelly will split work, with Anderson expected to get the start. This is not the week for Josh Reynolds or any of the TEs as the Rams will not be chasing points. On the Cardinals side of the ball, Larry Fitzgerald is a below average start, but still viable since the Cardinals will have to play catch up. David Johnson is a must start.

Bears (-4.5) @ 49ers (Sun 1:05 PM PDT):

O/U: 43

Blurb: Mitchell Trubisky is in an easy matchup, but he simply hasn’t been good since coming off of injury. Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen are both decent starts, Howard will get touches but the question if he’ll be effective against an underrated run defense, while the question with Cohen is if he can keep producing on a low number of touches. Allen Robinson is a decent start against a bad secondary, but the concern is the amount of targets he’ll get. On the 49ers side of the ball, Matt Breida is a solid start, but Jeff Wilson is a bench if Breida plays. George Kittle is a must start. Dante Pettis is a pretty good play, the Bears secondary can be beaten and Pettis has been playing real well lately.

Steelers @ Saints (-6) (Sun 1:25 PM PDT):

O/U: 53

Blurb: Ben Roethlisberger is having a fantastic fantasy season, and that won’t stop as he has to keep up with Drew Brees and the Saints in this one. Antonio Brown and Juju Smith-Schuster are must starts, and with James Conner out again, Jaylen Samuels merits serious starting consideration at RB, and is a must start if your league allows him to be placed in the TE position. Vance McDonald is a desperation play, but with all the passing he could pay off. Drew Brees is a must start. Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas are must starts, while Mark Ingram has a ton of upside but plays a tough rushing defense. The Saints defense is a sleeper, they have played very well in the past few games.

Chiefs (-2.5) @ Seahawks (Sun 5:20 PM PDT):

O/U: 53.5

Blurb: This game has a higher over/under than the Steelers/Saints game, and that makes me incredibly bullish on Russell Wilson. In a game that he will have to keep up with the Chiefs offense, he should be incredible. That makes me feel good about Tyler Lockett and Doug Baldwin as well, being his two main receivers. Chris Carson should also have a good game because the Chiefs can’t stop the run. On the Chiefs side, Spencer Ware is doubtful. Damien Williams is a borderline must start. Kelce, Hill, and Mahomes are all must starts.

Broncos (-2.5) @ Raiders (Mon 5:15 PM PDT):

O/U: 44

Blurb: This should be a huge game for Philip Lindsay, against a weak defense. Courtland Sutton, Tim Patrick, and DaeSean Hamilton are all desperation plays. I would take Patrick > Sutton > Hamilton in standard leagues, with Hamilton jumping over Sutton in PPR. Patrick is my favorite of the 3, and is a legit FLEX option for me. On the Raiders side of the ball, Doug Martin is an ok start with his workload, while Jared Cook is a must start. Jordy Nelson is a desperation play.